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16 October 2010
This week's games do not look like the locks that existed last week. A bunch of teams that CURRENTLY do not have much relevance to eachother always wind up skewing the stats. My system feels pretty confident though, so I'm gonna back it up.
MY PICKS
Spread -1 - Baylor (BAY vs COLO) -110
Just look at these two teams. Baylor isn't getting the attention it deserves and Colorado isn't good. The spread is 1 point but this just doesn't have the making of a close game. Final Score 34-20 Baylor
MONEYLINE - Arkansas (ARK vs AUB) +155
Auburn has gotten far too much love in the polls and despite personal suspicion of the SEC ensuring its top teams don't lose, I can't ignore this game. Mallet has made the razorbacks the second most efficient passing team in the league. They face the 90th worse pass defense. In the same breath Auburn has the 7th best rushing attack against the 56th worse rushing defense. If you ask me those numbers favor Arkansas, and I believe they take this game 28-24.
MONEYLINE - California (CAL vs USC) +120
This is just unfortunate. I have been waiting all season for USC to play a decent enough team to bet against them. I just didn't think that game would be against Washington. USC does not look good. That loss to WASH surely effected this game but I'm still in at +120. 34-21
MONEYLINE - Oregon State (ORST vs WASH) +110
Like I said, I didn't think it would be Washington that brought down USC. That's because Washington isn't a good team. I wouldn't even call them a decent team. Oregon State should have no problem with them. 32-28
MONEYLINE - Oklahoma State (OKST vs TTU) +125
This game comes down to the passing attacks of both teams. Neither one can run the ball (although Oklahoma State is slightly better at it). On the defensive side of the ball it looks like Oklahoma State has the slight edge over Texas Tech as well. These statistics may be biased due to the quality of opponent each has played but lets not overrate Texas and underrate Texas AM. Final 48-34
RESERVED TEMPTATIONS
Moneyline - UTEP
Moneyline - UNLV
